FORECAST STATISTICS FOR PERIOD: 11/ 4/98 - 3/19/99 Day+1 Day+2 Day+3 Day+4 Day+5 Parameter c t % c t % c t % c t % c t % ------------------ --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- Wave Height 64 79 81 57 78 73 53 77 69 47 77 61 43 74 58 Wave Direction 71 78 91 66 76 87 56 73 77 53 73 73 50 71 70 Wind Speed 76 79 96 68 78 87 67 77 87 60 77 78 57 74 77 Wind Direction 64 79 81 66 78 85 63 77 82 60 77 78 54 74 73 Code - c: count of correct forecasts t: total # of forecasts %: percent correct Observations based on radio and NWS surf and wind reports. Wave height error limit: 0-6:+-1, 7-11:+-2, 12-30:+-3 Wind speed error limit: +-1 Beaufort scale increment Directions error limit: +-22.5 degrees